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2024-12-13 04:15:53

This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.So for the current index, since you price this information, in principle, it is not allowed to fall below the starting point of information pricing, and the starting point resonates with the trend and horizontal central neckline, then neither 3380 nor the original trend is allowed to fall below in a short period of time.


So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.One son will be fully revitalized.Then the difference of this bull market is that it is no longer resonated by external factors, or internal and external factors. This round of our excess stock savings has already seen its power after 924, which is only slightly loose.


It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.Here, everyone who has read history should know that there is an old saying called "the power is not lower than the county, the county is the only clan, and the gentry is built by ethics". Let's retranslate this sentence and put it down. The decentralization of local debt approval is accelerating the process of debt conversion. You can understand that the major policies have been set and can be implemented, and the approval criticized by everyone is directly cut off. We must quickly complete the debt conversion and the county is the only clan.On Friday afternoon, I don't know if everyone went in to rush to play positions. In fact, for institutions, the positive line on Friday is actually not linked. Why do you say that?

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